Writing since 2019 On media, technology & strategy

Essays & Dispatches

24 essays · 11 dispatches · 8 notes by Narendra Nag
Cover Essay · Sports

Sports as AI Insurance

Within five weeks this spring, the reporter, the banker, and the fund all said the same thing: sports is the asset AI cannot synthesize. They are right — and the corollary they have not priced is where the next decade's margin lives.

May 8. June 3. June 11.

Within five weeks this spring, three of the most sophisticated actors in and around sports finance said the same thing in public. On May 8, Axios’s Dan Primack reported that sports deals are becoming “AI protection” — investors, in his words, treating sports as “the last bulwark against AI disruption.” On June 3, Mary Callahan Erdoes, who runs JPMorgan’s asset and wealth management division, called sports “the antithesis of AI” from the stage of the Forbes Iconoclast Summit, and predicted team valuations would keep surging because of it. On June 11, PitchBook reported — citing Alastair Seaman, a partner at Arctos, the private-equity firm whose business is minority stakes in sports franchises — that PE firms are pushing deeper into leagues major and minor, “betting on the lasting power of live events as something that can’t be replaced with AI.”

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01 Research Report The State of Local Sports Rights in 2026A research report on the post-RSN landscape. Q2 2026

More from the desk

24 essays since 2019
№01

The Cheapest Truck Wins

Sports·14 Aug 2026

Thirteen NBA teams and seven NHL teams became local-television free agents this spring, and every bid on the table is a haircut. The post-RSN war w...

13 min
№02

The Observer Effect

Sports·31 Jul 2026

Half a season into MLB's robot-umpire era, the machine's biggest effect on baseball has come from the calls it never made. Umpires shade toward the...

11 min
№03

The Machine Is Right and Nobody Believes It

Sports·17 Jul 2026

The World Cup's offside machine took a goal off the board for a touch no replay can show, and FIFA says the call was correct. It probably was. That...

11 min
№04

The Bounce-Click Argument

Media·19 Jun 2026

Google's defense of AI Overviews is that the clicks they replace were 'bounce clicks' — visits no one valued. The defense is technically true. It i...

11 min
№05

The Magicians

Sports·5 Jun 2026

Italy 1990 was the first World Cup I watched. I have not missed a single game played in any World Cup since — nine tournaments, more than five hund...

13 min
№06

The First WNBA Billion-Dollar Team

Sports·12 May 2026

The Golden State Valkyries are worth $1 billion two seasons into existence. That number is the cleanest case study of a league entering its second ...

10 min
№07

The Untapped Economics of Minor League Broadcasting

Sports·6 May 2026

The FAST-era distribution stack has quietly inverted the unit economics of minor league broadcasting — most of the teams we already cut were alread...

15 min
№08

The Unit Economics of Boredom

Media·2 May 2026

Streaming P&Ls optimize for minutes produced, which is cheap. The scarce variable is minutes earned — attention that is genuinely arousal-weighted....

14 min

Notes & marginalia

Short observations, filed as they happen

  • AUG 07 OpenAI said it had slowed development of its next major model, Astra, citing potentially critical cybersecurity capabilities.AI
  • JUL 21 Google released three new Gemini models. Gemini 3.5 Pro was not among them.AI
  • JUL 20 A federal judge approved Anthropic's $1.5B copyright settlement with authors — the largest on record. About 350 authors opted out.AI
  • JUL 16 Netflix disclosed in its Q2 shareholder letter that roughly 300 titles used generative AI in production this year.Streaming
  • JUL 14 US publishers sued Google over the use of their work to train Gemini.Media
  • JUL 01 Anthropic restored global access to Fable 5, and Mythos 5 for a set of US organizations, after the government lifted the June 12 directive.AI

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